Understanding the Impact of Autonomous Vehicles on Long-Distance Travel Mode and Destination Choice in Texas

Automated vehicles (AVs) are predicted to be available for public use sometime within the next 10 years. Long-distance travel models indicate that an increased number of travelers may choose AVs and shared autonomous vehicles (SAVs) over airline flights for moderately long trips such as between Houston and Dallas. Furthermore, the ease of travel that is expected to come with the availability of AVs may cause travelers to choose longer trips than what is customary today. Two consequences of this must be examined. First, the airline market may be severely impacted by this shift in mode choice. Second, long-distance travel demand may increase, prompting further study on building adequate inter-city roadway infrastructure. This research will expand a national travel demand model with a new AV mode using estimates of future market penetration. Researchers will investigate Texas in the model, both for intrastate travel and travel outside of the state. Results from the model will include mode split, destination choice, person-miles traveled, travel cost (including airline revenue), and AV market penetration, stratified across various distance ranges. The research team will conduct a survey and market study to validate the results.

Language

  • English

Project

  • Status: Active
  • Funding: $336,200
  • Contract Numbers:

    0-7081

  • Sponsor Organizations:

    Texas Department of Transportation

    125 E. 11th Street
    Austin, TX  United States  78701-2483
  • Managing Organizations:

    Texas Department of Transportation

    125 E. 11th Street
    Austin, TX  United States  78701-2483
  • Project Managers:

    Dassi, Martin

  • Performing Organizations:

    Center for Transportation Research

    3925 W. Braker Lane
    Austin, TX  United States  78759
  • Principal Investigators:

    Kockelman, Kara

  • Start Date: 20200901
  • Expected Completion Date: 20220831
  • Actual Completion Date: 0

Subject/Index Terms

Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 01766400
  • Record Type: Research project
  • Source Agency: Texas Department of Transportation
  • Contract Numbers: 0-7081
  • Files: RiP, STATEDOT
  • Created Date: Mar 2 2021 2:05PM