Feasibility of Adapting VisionEval for Scenario Planning

Scenario planning is designed to address uncertainty; for example, in a travel demand model, one might be uncertain as to the population of a location 20 years hence and thus might represent this variation by executing the model twice—once with a lower but plausible population value and once with a higher population value. A problem is that scenario planning can be quite time consuming and difficult, especially if there is uncertainty regarding inputs such as future changes in technology. Virginia is presently a participant in a pooled-fund study that is developing a tool called VisionEval, which is a “strategic model” designed to help with long-term visioning (such as alternative policies, different funding scenarios, or ways to increase network resilience) This research would determine the costs, benefits, and suitability of applying a tool such as VisionEval to scenario planning in Virginia.

Language

• English

Project

• Status: Active
• Funding: $115080
• Contract Numbers:

  118419

• Sponsor Organizations:

  Virginia Transportation Research Council

  530 Edgemont Road
  Charlottesville, VA  United States  22903
• Performing Organizations:

  Virginia Transportation Research Council

  530 Edgemont Road
  Charlottesville, VA  United States  22903
• Principal Investigators:

  Miller, John S

  Dougald, Lance E

  Xu, Yiqing

  Adel, Sayed

• Start Date: 20201203
• Expected Completion Date: 20221031
• Actual Completion Date: 0

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Benefit cost analysis; Feasibility analysis; Forecasting; Strategic planning; Uncertainty
• Geographic Terms: Virginia
• Subject Areas: Highways; Planning and Forecasting;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 01759537
• Record Type: Research project
• Source Agency: Virginia Department of Transportation
• Contract Numbers: 118419
• Files: RIP, STATEDOT
• Created Date: Dec 2 2020 8:23AM