Role of Vehicle Technology on Use-Joint Analysis of the Choice of Plug-in Electric Vehicle Ownership and Miles Traveled

New fuel technologies like zero-emission vehicles and mobility solutions like shared rides are expected to bring significant changes to overall travel demand as households adjust to these alternatives. While there is a relatively good understanding of household vehicle choice and travel behavior in the context of gasoline vehicles, this is not the case for plug-in electric vehicles (PEVs). The multi-year PEV owner survey conducted by the PH&EV Research center at UC Davis provides an opportunity to perform a robust analysis of PEV choice and usage decisions by households within an integrated framework that captures the joint nature of the decisions. In the initial analysis, a copula-based joint multinomial discrete-continuous model will be estimated that integrates vehicle choice and VMT decisions by capturing the effect of correlated, unobserved factors. Second, the model will be used to test implications for policy scenarios that address the purchase cost and/or the cost of driving a PEV. Finally, the lack of adequate choice-and-usage models for PEVs is a well-known deficiency of multiple state-level travel demand models, currently the subject of work by UC ITS researchers. The project team will coordinate with them to determine how their models can contribute to these efforts.

• Record URL:
  https://ncst.ucdavis.edu/project/role-vehicle-technology-use-joint-analysis-choice-plug-electric-vehicle-ownership-and-miles

Language

• English

Project

• Status: Active
• Funding: $109301
• Contract Numbers:

  DOT 69A3551747114

• Sponsor Organizations:

  National Center for Sustainable Transportation

  University of California, Davis
  Davis, CA  United States 

  Office of the Assistant Secretary for Research and Technology

  University Transportation Centers Program
  Department of Transportation
  Washington, DC  United States  20590
• Managing Organizations:

  National Center for Sustainable Transportation

  University of California, Davis
  Davis, CA  United States 

  University of California, Davis

  1 Shields Ave
  Davis, California  United States  95616
• Project Managers:

  Iacobucci, Lauren

• Performing Organizations:

  National Center for Sustainable Transportation

  University of California, Davis
  Davis, CA  United States 

  University of California, Davis

  1 Shields Ave
  Davis, California  United States  95616
• Principal Investigators:

  Chakraborty, Debapriya

  Tal, Gil

  Bunch, David

• Start Date: 20201001
• Expected Completion Date: 20220930
• Actual Completion Date: 0
• USDOT Program: University Transportation Centers

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Automobile ownership; Automobile travel; Choice models; Decision making; Households; Plug-in hybrid vehicles; Policy; Vehicle miles of travel; Zero emission vehicles
• Subject Areas: Energy; Highways; Planning and Forecasting; Vehicles and Equipment;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 01751890
• Record Type: Research project
• Source Agency: National Center for Sustainable Transportation
• Contract Numbers: DOT 69A3551747114
• Files: UTC, RIP
• Created Date: Sep 15 2020 1:25PM