Estimating the Economic Impacts Of Transportation-Related Supply Chain Disruptions In The Post-Earthquake Environment

Transportation systems play a critical role in maintaining supply chains necessary to the post-disaster recovery of communities by providing necessary goods and materials for relief and reconstruction. But we have limited understanding of how local businesses adjust and adapt to these transportation-related supply disruptions. The objectives of this study are: (1) to examine the economic impact of local supply chain disruption due to transportation loss; and (2) to examine actions taken by local businesses to maintain supply chain continuity in the face of transportation loss. The study will be conducted in two interlinked phases. The first phase involves integrating results from three popularly used models (HAZUS, the Wasatch Front Travel Demand Model, and REMI PI+) to identify industrial sectors expected to be most impacted by transportation loss in a M7.0 earthquake scenario within the Wasatch Front. The second phase involves a random sample telephone survey of 380-400 local businesses (95% CI, 5% error) of the Wasatch Front from within the high-impact sectors to assess their behaviors to manage supply in the face of the ongoing Coronavirus pandemic and the recent M5.7 Magna UT earthquake as well as their earthquake risk awareness in general. The Intellectual Merit of the study lies in its creation of a new, integrated and easily replicated framework to analyze the connection between transportation and economic resilience and its focus on small businesses, a typically understudied group. The Broad Impact of this study lies in its ability to improve transportation and supply chain resilience planning in the Wasatch Region—an issue that the State and region have identified as being critical to its overall disaster resilience—but also in other at-risk communities.

• Record URL:
  https://nitc.trec.pdx.edu/research/project/1405

Language

• English

Project

• Status: Active
• Funding: $202092
• Contract Numbers:

  NITC-1405

• Sponsor Organizations:

  Office of the Assistant Secretary for Research and Technology

  University Transportation Centers Program
  Department of Transportation
  Washington, DC  United States  20590
• Managing Organizations:

  TREC at Portland State University

  1900 SW Fourth Ave, Suite 175
  P.O. Box 751
  Portland, Oregon  United States  97201
• Performing Organizations:

  University of Utah, Salt Lake City

  City & Metropolitan Planning
  201 South Presidents Circle
  Salt Lake City, UT  United States  84112
• Principal Investigators:

  Chandrasekhar, Divya

• Start Date: 20200801
• Expected Completion Date: 20211231
• Actual Completion Date: 0
• USDOT Program: University Transportation Centers

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: COVID-19; Disaster resilience; Disasters; Earthquakes; Economic impacts; Industries; Service disruption; Small business; Supply chain management; Transportation; Travel demand
• Geographic Terms: Wasatch (Utah)
• Subject Areas: Economics; Freight Transportation; Security and Emergencies;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 01747041
• Record Type: Research project
• Source Agency: National Institute for Transportation and Communities
• Contract Numbers: NITC-1405
• Files: UTC, RiP
• Created Date: Jul 28 2020 4:19PM