Estimating Changes in State-level Vehicle Miles of Travel for Autonomous Vehicle Deployment Scenarios

This project is intended to examine the impacts of alternative autonomous vehicle (AV) scenarios on statewide vehicle miles traveled (VMT) for the state of Vermont to better understand VMT changes across the urban/rural spectrum and enhance the capacity of policymakers to plan for AV deployment. Fully autonomous vehicles (AVs) will profoundly impact the transportation system, including potentially increasing VMT. VMT has been projected to increase due to increased trip-making and VMT incurred when AVs operate without any passengers for service or re-location. The magnitude of VMT change will depend on many factors including the balance of shared versus household-based AV ownership. There may be significant urban/rural differences in VMT changes. Most existing scenario modeling has been conducted using urban study areas. It is difficult to pursue state-level policy, especially in states with significant rural areas, without a more comprehensive understanding of the travel changes that may occur in an AV dominated travel environment including urban, rural and suburban landscapes. Widespread deployment of AVs holds the potential to increase VMT, congestion, energy consumption, highway maintenance needs and greenhouse gas emissions. Better understanding of the magnitude of these impacts across urban and rural landscapes will facilitate policy and planning for AVs, including policy and pricing mechanisms that address zero-passenger miles and promote vehicle sharing.

Language

  • English

Project

  • Status: Active
  • Funding: $82334
  • Contract Numbers:

    DOT 69A3551747114

  • Sponsor Organizations:

    National Center for Sustainable Transportation

    University of California, Davis
    Davis, CA  United States 

    UVM Transportation Center

    University of Vermont
    210 Colchester Avenue
    Burlington, VT  United States  05405

    Office of the Assistant Secretary for Research and Technology

    University Transportation Centers Program
    Department of Transportation
    Washington, DC  United States  20590
  • Managing Organizations:

    National Center for Sustainable Transportation

    University of California, Davis
    Davis, CA  United States 

    UVM Transportation Center

    University of Vermont
    210 Colchester Avenue
    Burlington, VT  United States  05405
  • Project Managers:

    Iacobucci, Lauren

  • Performing Organizations:

    National Center for Sustainable Transportation

    University of California, Davis
    Davis, CA  United States 

    UVM Transportation Center

    University of Vermont
    210 Colchester Avenue
    Burlington, VT  United States  05405
  • Principal Investigators:

    Dowds, Jonathan

    Aultman-Hall, Lisa

  • Start Date: 20190801
  • Expected Completion Date: 20200930
  • Actual Completion Date: 0
  • USDOT Program: University Transportation Centers

Subject/Index Terms

Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 01715274
  • Record Type: Research project
  • Source Agency: National Center for Sustainable Transportation
  • Contract Numbers: DOT 69A3551747114
  • Files: UTC, RiP
  • Created Date: Aug 29 2019 1:06PM