Truck Choice Modeling: Understanding California’s Transition to Zero Emissions Vehicles Trucks Taking into Account Truck Technologies, Costs, and Fleet Decision Behavior

This project presents sustainable freight data and a truck purchase decision choice models to better understand how California’s fleets will transition to low carbon technologies and fuels, especially zero-emission technologies such as electric and fuel cell trucks. Researchers developed data comparing vehicle/technology performance, vehicle capital and operating costs, mileage and performance requirements, and other important purchase decision factors for different types of trucks and fleets. The project also developed a discrete choice model for alternative fueled trucks to assess the impacts of various attributes on the purchase decisions of various types of fleets, and provides technology adoption scenarios. Researchers investigated critical factors that affect fleet purchase decisions, reasonable adoption rates for new technologies, and the effect of infrastructure deployment on purchases. Understanding these critical factors will enable the development of more realistic scenarios for a transition to low-carbon truck transportation in California and help identify relevant policies. It will assist the state’s implementation of the statewide freight plan.


  • English


  • Status: Completed
  • Contract Numbers:

    Caltrans 65A0527 TO 033.2

  • Sponsor Organizations:

    California Department of Transportation

    1227 O Street
    Sacramento, CA  United States  95843

    Office of the Assistant Secretary for Research and Technology

    University Transportation Centers Program
    Department of Transportation
    Washington, DC  United States  20590
  • Managing Organizations:

    National Center for Sustainable Transportation

    University of California, Davis
    Davis, CA  United States 
  • Project Managers:

    Iacobucci, Lauren

  • Performing Organizations:

    National Center for Sustainable Transportation

    University of California, Davis
    Davis, CA  United States 

    University of California, Davis

    Institute of Transportation Studies
    Davis, CA  United States  95616
  • Principal Investigators:

    Fulton, Lewis

  • Start Date: 20161121
  • Expected Completion Date: 20171031
  • Actual Completion Date: 20171129
  • USDOT Program: University Transportation Centers

Subject/Index Terms

Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 01610315
  • Record Type: Research project
  • Source Agency: National Center for Sustainable Transportation
  • Contract Numbers: Caltrans 65A0527 TO 033.2
  • Files: UTC, RiP
  • Created Date: Sep 6 2016 4:38PM