Estimating Ridership of Demand Response Transit Services

Few studies have been completed that provide a method for estimating ridership for demand-response transit services. Lack of data for demand-response service characteristics and geographic coverage has limited the estimation of such models. Transit Cooperative Research Program (TCRP) Report 161 (2013) provides methods for forecasting demand for rural passenger transportation, including general demand-response services. The demand model developed in this report includes some service characteristics, such as size of service area and service miles, but it lacks other service characteristics. Factors such as fares, span of service, reservation requirements, and other service characteristics will likely impact ridership. These data are not included in the rural National Transit Database (NTD), but recently collected data from demand-response transit providers in North Dakota and Florida provide detail about these service characteristics, as well as geographic coverage. These data, when combined with rural NTD data and population and demographic data from the U.S. Census and the American Community Survey (ACS) allow for the estimation of a more detailed demand model. Results could be used to forecast demand for new demand-response services; estimate the impact of service changes, such as changes in geographic coverage, span of service, fares, etc.; and project future ridership based on projected population and demographic changes.


  • English


  • Status: Completed
  • Contract Numbers:


    NDSU 2117-9060-02-A

  • Sponsor Organizations:

    National Center for Transit Research

    University of South Florida
    4202 East Fowler Avenue, CUT 100
    Tampa, FL  United States  33620

    Office of the Assistant Secretary for Research and Technology

    University Transportation Centers Program
    Department of Transportation
    Washington, DC  United States  20590
  • Project Managers:

    Volinski, Joel

  • Principal Investigators:

    Mattson, Jeremy

  • Start Date: 20150601
  • Expected Completion Date: 20160331
  • Actual Completion Date: 0

Subject/Index Terms

Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 01595747
  • Record Type: Research project
  • Source Agency: National Center for Transit Research
  • Contract Numbers: DTRT12-G-UTC22, NDSU 2117-9060-02-A
  • Files: UTC, RiP
  • Created Date: Apr 6 2016 9:35PM