Synthesis of Information Related to Highway Problems. Topic 38-07. Forecasting Metropolitan Commercial and Freight Travel

Trip-making characteristics for commercial (e.g., service-related) and freight travel are very different from person travel, and are often not well represented in metropolitan travel models. Metropolitan travel forecasts, therefore, may under-predict commercial and freight travel due to lack of data, or over-predict other components of travel, such as non-home-based trips to compensate and match traffic counts. Trucks have their own special impacts on traffic, pavements, and air quality; and truck travel may be impacted by climate and security events. Finally, the level of transport service afforded to commercial and freight travel has significant bearing on the overall costs of doing business in a metropolitan area, and studies to evaluate the economic development of transportation or land use alternatives must be advised by accurate forecasts of commercial and freight travel. This synthesis project will identify methods of commercial and freight forecasting currently in professional practice and promising methods emerging from ongoing research. The description of methods will include data collection, model estimation, and model validation accompanied by applications case studies. Information will be gathered by literature review, which will include advanced international practice. There will be interviews of selected North American metropolitan practitioners and model developers, and other practitioners. The interview subjects will be identified in the literature review, and consultation with AMPO and topic panel members. Information on logistics will be limited to its explicit use in the development of the urban travel forecasting model.


  • English


  • Status: Completed
  • Contract Numbers:

    Project 20-05, Topic

  • Sponsor Organizations:

    Federal Highway Administration

    1200 New Jersey Avenue, SE
    Washington, DC  USA  20590

    American Association of State Highway & Transportation Officials

    444 North Capitol Street, NW, Suite 225
    Washington, DC    20001

    National Cooperative Highway Research Program

    Transportation Research Board
    500 Fifth Street, NW
    Washington, DC  USA  20001
  • Project Managers:

    Williams, Jon

  • Start Date: 20061101
  • Actual Completion Date: 20070207
  • Source Data: RiP Project 15993

Subject/Index Terms

Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 01464663
  • Record Type: Research project
  • Source Agency: National Cooperative Highway Research Program
  • Contract Numbers: Project 20-05, Topic
  • Files: TRB, RiP, USDOT
  • Created Date: Jan 3 2013 2:47PM