Scan to Identify Scientific or Technological Advances Having Implications for State DOTs 30 to 50 Years in the Future

In 2008, the National Cooperative Highway Research Program (NCHRP) initiated Project 20-83, "Long-Term Strategic Issues Facing the Transportation Industry," and subsequently selected seven projects that are examining the affects of relevant domestic and global megatrends on state departments of transportation (DOTs) in the future. Collectively, this research will look forward 3 to 5 decades and develop plausible scenarios that describe the factors that may drive or influence state transportation agencies' delivery of transportation services. The research will identify opportunities for agencies to be proactive in how they monitor and respond to pending social, economic, environmental, and technological factors affecting these scenarios. Research conducted in this series of projects considers the following two goals: (1) anticipating the future issues that may be approaching so that transportation agencies are better prepared to respond to new and emerging challenges and (2) exploring visions of what the future should look like, so that transportation agencies can help shape the future through their decisionmaking. The seven active projects include: (01) Potential Changes in Goods Movement and Freight in Changing Economic Systems and Demand; (02) Framework for Advance Adoption of New Technologies to Improve System Performance; (03) Approaches to Enhance Preservation, Maintenance, and Renewal of Highway Infrastructure; (04) Effects of Changing Transportation Energy Supplies and Alternative Fuel Sources on Transportation; (05) Potential Impacts of Climate Change on Transportation Infrastructure and Operations, and Adaptation Approaches; (06) Effects of Socio-Demographics on Travel Demand; and (07) Sustainable Transportation Systems and Sustainability as an Organizing Principle for Transportation Agencies. These projects represent a significant effort to understand a number of issues and opportunities that DOTs may face, but they may not capture all important possibilities. NCHRP is considering whether to initiate additional projects in this series and is interested in conducting outreach in scientific and technological arenas that are not being addressed directly by the ongoing research. The objective of this research is to conduct a scan to identify scientific or technological advances occurring in non-transportation fields that may have implications for state DOTs 30 to 50 years in the future. The scan should also identify the factor(s) that might influence the pace and degree of relevant scientific and technological innovation and change, and the nature and strength of their impact on state DOTs. The research agency will present the results of this scan at a 1½-day interactive seminar on December 8-9, 2010, for American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials' Standing Committee on Research members, NCHRP Project 20-83 principal investigators, and invited others. The seminar will provide a forum to discuss whether there is a need to create new NCHRP 20-83 projects, and it will facilitate coordination between the active NCHRP 20-83 projects. Working with the project advisory panel and NCHRP staff, the research agency will also assist in designing the seminar and will facilitate the seminar.


  • English


  • Status: Proposed
  • Funding: $150000.00
  • Contract Numbers:


  • Sponsor Organizations:

    Federal Highway Administration

    1200 New Jersey Avenue, SE
    Washington, DC  United States  20590

    American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials (AASHTO)

    444 North Capitol Street, NW
    Washington, DC  United States  20001

    National Cooperative Highway Research Program

    Transportation Research Board
    500 Fifth Street, NW
    Washington, DC  United States  20001
  • Project Managers:

    Sundstrom, Lori

  • Start Date: 20100610
  • Expected Completion Date: 0
  • Actual Completion Date: 0
  • Source Data: RiP Project 25948

Subject/Index Terms

Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 01463975
  • Record Type: Research project
  • Source Agency: National Cooperative Highway Research Program
  • Contract Numbers: 20-83A
  • Files: TRB, RiP, USDOT
  • Created Date: Jan 3 2013 2:33PM