Forecast Versus Actual Impacts of New Starts Part I

Description. Past studies have indicated that sponsors of major capital transit projects developed in the 1960s and 1970s tended to overestimate ridership impacts and underestimate capital and operating costs during planning and project development. Recently, indicators suggest that sponsors are producing more reliable information in the development of similar projects. This study will determine whether, in fact, ( ) project sponsors are producing more reliable forecasts of ridership and cost information, and (2) what changes are needed in FT A's procedures, oversight, and technical assistance to address any systematic problems. This project consists of two parts. Part 1 will include a general review of a large number of New Start projects that will provide information for assessing trends in the project development process. Part 2 will focus on case studies of a limited number of projects regarding significant project changes and cost overruns.


    • English


    • Status: Active
    • Funding: $200000.00
    • Contract Numbers:


    • Sponsor Organizations:

      Federal Transit Administration

      1200 New Jersey Avenue, SE
      Washington, DC  United States  20590
    • Project Managers:

      Liberton, Sean

    • Performing Organizations:

      SG Associates, Incorporated

      4200 Daniels Avenue, #201
      Annandale, VA  United States  22003
    • Principal Investigators:

      Spielberg, Frank

    • Start Date: 20010900
    • Expected Completion Date: 0
    • Actual Completion Date: 20020400
    • Source Data: RiP Project 7277

    Subject/Index Terms

    Filing Info

    • Accession Number: 01459332
    • Record Type: Research project
    • Source Agency: Federal Transit Administration
    • Contract Numbers: FTA-VA-90-1008
    • Files: RiP, USDOT
    • Created Date: Jan 3 2013 1:01PM