Implementing an Advanced Open-Source Activity Based Travel Demand Model to Support Rural Transportation Planning and Policy Decisions

Travel demand models (TDMs) are used to support state and regional transportation planning and policy decisions. TDMs were originally developed to forecast passenger traffic volumes with the primary objective of identifying investments to reduce traffic congestion. Today, TDMs are used to support a much broader range of purposes, including multimodal and freight transportation planning, demand management strategies, forecasting accessibility outcomes, evaluating network resiliency to disasters, and modeling air quality and public health impacts. However, the aggregate, trip based TDMs used by most regional and state transportation agencies lack the fidelity and sensitivity to evaluate contemporary planning and policy decisions. Activity based travel demand models (ABMs) offer substantial improvements and their agent-based simulation platforms allow for integration with a wide range of other agent-based modeling including land use simulation, vehicle adoption, population growth simulation models among others. Despite their advantages, the complexity of ABMs has constrained their adoption to all but the largest metropolitan areas, often with support from academic researchers. Smaller urban areas and rural states like Vermont could benefit substantially from adopting ABMs. The goal of this project is to implement an open source and/or free for public use ABM in Vermont. Several ABMs meeting these criteria have been developed by US Department of Energy labs. This project will implement a modeling platform that University of Vermont can use in partnership with regional and state stakeholders to advance rural transportation planning and policy research; perform a case study to demonstrate the unique capabilities of ABMs to inform current transportation policy debates in Vermont; identify implementation barriers; and identify future research directions to address implementation barriers to enable wider ABM adoption outside of large urban areas.

• Record URL:
  • https://ncst.ucdavis.edu/project/implementing-advanced-open-source-activity-based-travel-demand-model-support-rural-0

Language

• English

Project

• Status: Active
• Funding: $89,739.00
• Contract Numbers:

  DOT 69A3552348319

  DOT 69A3552344814

• Sponsor Organizations:

  Office of the Assistant Secretary for Research and Technology

  University Transportation Centers Program
  Department of Transportation
  Washington, DC  United States  20590

  National Center for Sustainable Transportation

  University of California, Davis
  Davis, CA  United States 
• Managing Organizations:

  National Center for Sustainable Transportation

  University of California, Davis
  Davis, CA  United States 

  University of California, Davis

  1 Shields Ave
  Davis, California  United States  95616

  University of Vermont

  Transportation Research Center
  Burlington, Vermont  United States  05405
• Project Managers:

  Cliff, Sydney

• Performing Organizations:

  National Center for Sustainable Transportation

  University of California, Davis
  Davis, CA  United States 

  University of Vermont

  Transportation Research Center
  Burlington, Vermont  United States  05405
• Principal Investigators:

  Rowangould, Gregory

• Start Date: 20251001
• Expected Completion Date: 20260930
• Actual Completion Date: 0
• USDOT Program: University Transportation Centers

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Activity choices; Rural areas; Rural transportation; Transportation planning; Travel demand
• Geographic Terms: Vermont
• Subject Areas: Planning and Forecasting; Transportation (General);

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 01985684
• Record Type: Research project
• Source Agency: National Center for Sustainable Transportation
• Contract Numbers: DOT 69A3552348319, DOT 69A3552344814
• Files: UTC, RIP
• Created Date: Apr 14 2026 12:09PM