How Will Use of Autonomous Vehicles for Running Errands Affect Future Autonomous Vehicle Adoption and Ownership?

Concerned with the potentially deleterious effects of having personal autonomous vehicles (AVs) running errands autonomously, this research project aims to shed light on the level of interest in sending AVs to run errands and how that variable affects the intent to own an AV. Using data from the T4 Survey, the relationship is explored through a joint model system estimated using the Generalized Heterogeneous Data Model (GHDM) methodology. Results show that even after accounting for socio-economic and demographic variables as well as latent attitudinal constructs, the level of interest in having AVs run errands has a positive and significant effect on AV ownership intent. The findings point to the need for policies that would steer the entry and use of AVs in the marketplace in ways that avoid a dystopian future where personally owned AVs would be personally owned by households – enabling people to live farther away from destinations, inducing additional travel, and roaming roadways with zero occupants. The project has been fully completed in the preceding reporting period.


  • English


  • Status: Completed
  • Funding: $N/A
  • Contract Numbers:


  • Sponsor Organizations:

    Office of the Assistant Secretary for Research and Technology

    University Transportation Centers Program
    Department of Transportation
    Washington, DC  United States  20590
  • Managing Organizations:

    Center for Teaching Old Models New Tricks (TOMNET)

    Arizona State University
    Tempe, AZ  United States  85287
  • Project Managers:

    Pendyala, Ram

  • Performing Organizations:

    Arizona State University, Phoenix

    Evaluation Research Team
    Phoenix, AZ  United States  85069
  • Principal Investigators:

    Pendyala, Ram

  • Start Date: 20210801
  • Expected Completion Date: 20210731
  • Actual Completion Date: 0
  • USDOT Program: University Transportation Centers Program

Subject/Index Terms

Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 01849059
  • Record Type: Research project
  • Source Agency: Center for Teaching Old Models New Tricks (TOMNET)
  • Contract Numbers: 69A3551747116
  • Files: UTC, RIP
  • Created Date: Jun 22 2022 9:35AM