Towards Inferring Welfare Changes from Changes in Curbside Parking Occupancy Rates: A Theoretical Analysis Motivated by SFpark and LA Express Park

The structural model has three components. The first relates welfare to the mean number of curbside parking spaces searched, for multiple cruising-for-parking strategies. Using traffic microsimulation on an idealized network, the second relates the mean number of curbside parking spaces searched to the occupancy rate, again for multiple cruising strategies. The third aims to statistically infer cruising strategy by comparing how local meter rate changes affect global occupancy rates in the data versus from simulations for different cruising strategies.